
Quoting
OutsideTheBox
I’m interested in the general discussion about how risky is it really to take an 11 year old to Mexico, and I’m looking at current data directly from the CDC regarding provisional COVID-19 death counts by age. According to that data, between 2/1/20 and 6/27/20, total US COVID-19 deaths in the age group 5-14 years was 14 out of 112,226 total deaths for all ages, or 0.012% (12 thousandths of 1 percent). Deaths of any cause in the 5-14 ages were 1,995 out of 1,276,875, or 0.156% (156 thousandths of 1 percent), so 11-year-olds are about 13 times more at risk to die from causes other than COVID-19.
To put it in more general terms, children under 15 have been only a miniscule .026% of COVID-19 deaths by comparison to people 55+ who have been 92.514%. In Mexico the distribution of COVID-19 deaths by age group is likely to be quite similar.
Frankly based on the CDC stats I fail to see an unreasonable risk for taking the child to Mexico, especially for outside activities such as on a beach with social distancing.
The data I am using can be found at:
data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Death-Counts-by-Sex-Age-and-S/9bhg-hcku