Now we are only testing the worst cases, say the 5's on a 1 - 5 scale. Once we test all the 5's we simply start testing all the 4's, then the 3's...
As we perform more tests the cases will go up while we have no clue whether it is still spreading at the same rate. The data is flawed because we are constantly changing the metric at which we test. If all 330M people were tested every three days (which is impossible), then we'd know if social distancing is the silver bullet. As long as social workers and family members of the 80% that are non-hospitalized continue to come in contact with the infected, we will keep spreading it. IOW, we must agree on an acceptable spread rate.
Tucker Carlson sees through a lot of this. The rest of the people will have to start catching on to take our power back from these drunk politicians and so called experts. People who have been on auto-pay their whole lives.
I think that is the theory behind these orders. Slow the spread. In other words, "flatten the curve." Many of the experts seem to think that we are not going to prevent transmission, only delay it long enough to be manageable. The question then becomes, how long do we maintain this pseudo-lockdown in order to flatten that curve?
One epidemiologist at Stanford said early on in this crisis that we simply don't have enough data to establish a definitive protocol. And, as you point out, only the most serious patients tend to get tested. My bro-in-law's 95 year old mom in an assisted living home developed symptoms and she was not tested. Both he and his wife (my wife's twin sister) developed symptoms, and THEY were not tested. I was living with them during my work week, and I did NOT develop symptoms yet our doctor told us to self-quarantine. My 18 year old nephew has now contracted symptoms and he is living at home. In all, 4 people developed symptoms with doctors saying they likely had COVID-19, 5 additional people were exposed, and zero have been tested. If they DID have COVID-19 and recovered then that changes the math and projections drastically.
But, there is simply too little known to make effective policy. So, we react with knee-jerk - and often well-intentioned - policies of questionable legal standing.
Unfortunately, the police are being put into the middle of this tug of war.
Another point you make is the metric they use to test people. They can continue to report an increase in COVID-19 cases simply by testing the folks that they did not test before. It will show more cases and more of a spread rate when actually they are testing folks who had it before. IOW, they can statistically infer the spreading of this disease when it has not spread at all. They should admit the flaws in their data collection protocols because it is far less than scientific.
The only data they cannot mislead or lie about is the death rate which is 25% of their projected death toll. So just how good are these 'experts?'
I've even started getting groceries and other items delivered instead of going into stores. However, if my state started locking people up for spending time with a friend or taking a walk, I personally would be at those protests despite the risk. Because I think that the fact that using a virus that is not lethal to the majority of people who contract it as an excuse to turn the US into a "show me your papers" type of country instead of a free one is completely unjustified. If I were to get this disease, contract pneumonia as a result, and die of it (as I certainly could), my opinion from the afterlife would still be unchanged honestly. I certainly am far from invincible when it comes to this illness.
Still, I feel like ensuring that the country remains a place where people have rights and aren't being locked up for taking a walk or something of the sort is an important priority during this difficult time. A lot of states have had success with using stay at home orders that are effectively voluntary, such as in Georgia where I live now and in New York. In Georgia and New York, no one has been locked up or even cited for taking a walk, having a friend over, or anything like that. Businesses have been closed, but they haven't taken to penalizing individuals. And the curve is being "flattened" in both of these areas. I am somewhat "at risk", but I still feel strongly that these stay at home orders need to be created in a sensible manner as opposed to a Michigan or Maryland like manner.
How can someone 'agree with conspiracy theories' - this is basically like saying "I agree with fairy tales" - yea, good for you, you agree with someone's wildly inaccurate and unbacked by anything imagination.