Crystal ball is out for calibration.
He could be violated on the original charge and could receive anything from a slap on the wrist with continue probation(doubtful) to the balance of his sentence in jail, with many possibilities in between.
On the new charge, he is probably looking at some amount of time in jail given he can't stop being an irresponsible jackwagon who drinks and drives. He can probably kiss his license good bye as well.

