Somewhere between 0% and 100%.
Somewhere between 0% and 100%.
It's not the being arrested leaving you need to be worried about. It's the being arrested coming back into the country that is more likely.
I was reading about a trial of Albert J. Piro, and saw this:
"...Ms. Marciano, who has married and now goes by the name Lynne Lichtefeld, did not attend the tax-fraud trial, which ended on June 22. She had been arrested on May 30 at Newark International Airport on a warrant for violation of probation in Florida related to a 1992 grand-theft conviction..."
(http://www.nytimes.com/2000/07/08/ny...ts%2fT%2fTaxes)
For all you guys with warrants who want to fly.
Of course, consider this, the coppers are really out to get Albert J Piro, so it is a good assumption that they are watching his associates, such as this woman, so they of course may have used the Florida warrant as an excuse to interfere with her activities that might assist Piro, or get her in a vulnerable position in order to pressure her in to talking about Piro, etc. So I guess the likelihood of getting picked up at the airport is much higher if you are involved in other activities that are likely to make police want to watch the airport, but I think the reason you might get picked up at the airport is because someone is physically watching for you, and uses the warrant as an excuse to hold you.
I don't believe there is a system set up (yet) to check your passport against NCIS etc and automatically alert someone to hold you.