Re: Fbi Entrapment Arrest
Oh, bullpoop. The repugnant stormfront forum where you went hunting for the illegal conversion gave you all the information to tell you that it was indeed illegal. There's a stickied post at the top of their self defense forum with all the NFA legal info in it.
Not, as the others have pointed out, that it makes any difference.
You could have gone to trial on this and you'd have still lost.
Re: Fbi Entrapment Arrest
Quote:
Quoting
Mr. Knowitall
The odds of his getting a pardon are... what? A bit below his chance of winning the lottery?
much less than that, people win the lottery all the time, nobody gets federal gun rights restored without fully overturning the conviction
Re: Fbi Entrapment Arrest
You can recover your gun rights with a Presidential pardon. On average, roughly sixty pardons are granted per year. If we ignore the need for political connections, that's about one in 5 million.
Re: Fbi Entrapment Arrest
if i was not clear, i was including pardons in "overturning" the conviction, i'm not sure if my terminology is correct
about 1500 people win 1MM+ in the lottery lottery each year, so 30 times less likely than getting rich off the lotto, assuming that pardons are handed out with the same pure randomness of lottery numbers and that the current or future presidents would not immediately reject the proposition of putting guns back in the hands of a violent extremist who was convicted of attempting to acquire dangerous and illegal weaponry, possibly for the ends of carrying out a major hate crime mass murder or act of terrorism.
this is an individual who participates in communities fetishizing violent race war. I doubt a president Trump would grant such a pardon, while he has made a number of severely politically incorrect statements nothing suggests he has any particular love for the violent fringe "right wing" racist groups.
maybe if OP won the political super lotto and David Duke or Don Black were elected president, but that is about as likely as me discovering the secrets of "sci-fi grade" cold fusion power in my spare time at work.
Re: Fbi Entrapment Arrest
Quote:
Quoting
Lehk
about 1500 people win 1MM+ in the lottery lottery each year, so 30 times less likely than getting rich off the lotto, assuming that pardons are handed out with the same pure randomness of lottery numbers.
Not sot so fast. In the lottery, the chance of any one ticket winning is very low because millions of tickets are sold. For the lottery, tens of millions of tickets are sold and only a couple of those result in wins that payout $1 million or more. Because of that, for example, the Powerball lottery statistics state that the chance to win one of the $1 million prizes is 1 in 5,153,632.65 and the chance to win the grand prize is 1 in 175,223,510.00. Very low odds indeed.
If you treated presidential pardons as a lottery, the chances are actually much better. The White House has a page listing presidential pardon and clemency numbers for each president by fiscal year going back to 1900. For President Obama, the total number of pardon applications received since he took office in 2009 is 2,078 (analogous the number of tickets sold). The number of pardons granted was 64 (the number of people who won the pardon lottery). So, if it was purely random and using those figures as representative of your probability of success, you would expect that you’d have a 3.1% chance to win a pardon, so roughly 1 chance in 32.5. Still not great, but much better than your chance to hit the lottery for $1 million with the Powerball at 1 chance in 5,153,632.65.
Of course, that computation makes an assumption as though pardons operated like a lottery, so it is not at all accurate as to the real chance of success an applicant will face. The chances of success depends on the merits of the application and political connections. It is worth noting that most persons convicted of federal crimes never even try to apply for a pardon because they know they are very unlikely to succeed either because they don’t have a compelling case for a pardon or lack the connections that might ease the way for a pardon. If all those other federal convicts put in applications the chances to succeed using lottery type assumptions would probably drop significantly, but might still be better than winning that lottery prize.