Mr. X is charged with enticing/inducing/coercing/persuading a minor (as believed by Mr. X, actually an adult decoy) to engage in sexual activity. Mr. X fled the trial after arraignment and is living in a foreign(third-world) country. It is very unlikely that the US demands extradition, as this person could challenge extradition on grounds that considerable damage was not caused to the US and also that he may face 10 years of mandatory minimum sentence ( the allegation was based on article 2422 b of the Federal sentencing guidelines).
That said, how likely is this person to be attempted for extradition from another foreign country? Say an European country or an East Asian country like Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong etc.
P.S: the attempt to induce happened through internet, a means of interstate commerce.